🌳 Port Secrets Surface
Sabah el kheir—and Ramadan Kareem to those beginning their fast today. This Thursday brings a bombshell OCCRP investigation revealing what Lebanon's navy knew—and didn't report—about the MV Rhosus seven years before it leveled Beirut. Plus: diaspora voting rights and Lebanon's new regional seat at the FAO table.
TOP STORIES
Lebanon's Navy Cleared the Rhosus in 2013—Then Buried the Record
- A new OCCRP investigation reveals that Lebanon's navy inspected the MV Rhosus in November 2013 after UNIFIL flagged it as a "vessel of interest"—and declared it "clear," despite it carrying 2,750 tons of ammonium nitrate destined for an explosives company in Mozambique.
- That inspection was then completely omitted from a four-page "top secret" army report sent to the Defense Ministry just five days after the August 2020 blast—a report signed by then-commander, now-President Joseph Aoun—raising acute questions about what was deliberately concealed and why.
- Human Rights Watch's Global Program Director Lama Fakih called the findings evidence of "serious questions regarding the responsibility of individuals, including those within the army," demanding accountability for both the clearance and the cover-up of the inspection.
- Lebanon's government has faced sustained criticism for the investigation's glacial pace—more than five years after the blast killed over 200 people and displaced hundreds of thousands, with an indictment only now reportedly imminent.
Why it matters: The revelation that the military inspected, cleared, and then erased all record of the Rhosus visit deepens the accountability crisis around the port explosion—and puts pressure on a president whose name is literally on the cover-up report.
Diaspora MPs Push Back on Tax Hikes and Voting Limits
- Kataeb leader MP Sami Gemayel hosted MP Mark Daou at the party's Sifi headquarters, where both lawmakers rejected any new tax increases in the current economic climate, calling for fair reform policies that don't pile further burdens on Lebanese citizens.
- The two MPs also pushed back hard against limiting diaspora representation to just 6 parliamentary seats, insisting that Lebanese expatriates have the right to vote for all 128 members of parliament—not a carved-out quota.
- Daou stressed that election law reform must move in parallel with disarmament efforts north of the Litani River, framing a credible, free electoral process as inseparable from broader sovereignty goals.
The backstory: Lebanon's diaspora—estimated in the millions globally—has long sought fuller electoral participation. A legislative body opinion recently supported expanded expatriate voting rights, but proposals capping their seats at six have drawn fierce opposition from reform-oriented MPs who see diaspora votes as a check on traditional political machines.
Zooming out: With elections on the horizon and the IMF watching Lebanon's fiscal moves, the twin debates over diaspora voting and tax policy will define whether this reform era produces real change or more managed disappointment.
Lebanon Takes the Chair at the FAO's Near East Regional Group
- Lebanon officially assumed the 2026 chairmanship of the Near East Regional Group at the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) during a meeting at FAO headquarters in Rome, with the presidency transferred from Kuwait and Iraq named as vice-chair.
- Ambassador Carla Jazzar affirmed Lebanon's commitment to regional cooperation and institutional reform within the FAO, with member states expressing full support for Lebanon's new leadership role.
- The UAE was confirmed as host of the next FAO Regional Conference, while Sudan registered a formal reservation—though this did not affect the overall decision-making at the meeting.
What to watch: Lebanon's FAO chairmanship is a quiet but meaningful signal of the country's re-emergence on the international stage—keep an eye on whether Beirut leverages the role to push for food security funding tied to post-war reconstruction.
QUICK HITS
- Bitar hits pause: Port blast investigator Judge Tarek Bitar is delaying his indictment filing until a new public prosecutor is appointed—the current one retires March 25—but new German documents with financial records, bank account numbers, and company names have widened the investigation significantly. The indictment is expected before August.
- Washington, infrastructure in tow: Minister of Public Works Fayez Rasamny wrapped up a Washington visit that included meetings at the White House, the US Treasury, State Department, the World Bank, and the DFC, all focused on modernizing Lebanon's airports and ports and locking down US-backed investment for infrastructure reform.
- Berri blocking the ballot: MP El Hage told MTV that the government is committed to holding elections on time and is actively pursuing an electoral law change, but directly accused Speaker Nabih Berri of obstructing the executive authority's work on the electoral process.
- Aoun's economic wish list: President Joseph Aoun hosted the central bank governor, the army commander, and the new IDAL investment board at Baabda, calling attracting foreign investment a "national priority" and pushing for modern industry, digital economy, and renewable energy as the pillars of Lebanon's recovery plan.
- Constitution, not a bazaar: Civil society group Moltaqa al-Ta'thir al-Madani issued a sharp statement insisting that the 2026 elections are a constitutional obligation—not a bargaining chip—and that diaspora voting rights for all 128 parliamentary seats are non-negotiable and cannot be traded away in political deals.
INTERNATIONAL
ISIS Detainee Crisis: Al-Hol Camp Empties as Lebanon Quietly Intercepts Returnees
- Syria's al-Hol camp, which once held more than 23,407 people across 6,639 families as recently as January 19, has dropped to fewer than 1,000 families after government forces seized control from the Kurdish-led SDF last month without a coordinated handover, according to Reuters.
- The US military completed a transfer of 5,700 adult male ISIS detainees to Iraq, prioritizing high-value targets, while Syria's new government announced it had evacuated or relocated the last families from the camp to a new site near Akhtarin in Aleppo province.
- A New York Times investigation found that ISIS operatives arrived from Iraq around January 19 to exploit the security vacuum, with the group's sleeper cells coordinating the escape of specific families—including across the border into Lebanon, more than 800 kilometers away, indicating organized movement rather than opportunistic flight.
- In Lebanon, the army has questioned more than a dozen Lebanese nationals who crossed illegally from Syria after leaving al-Hol, according to a Lebanese security source cited by Reuters—a concrete and direct security consequence for Beirut.
What to watch: With ISIS families now dispersed across Syria, Iraq, and neighboring countries including Lebanon, the collapse of the al-Hol detention system has created a live security challenge that Lebanon's army and intelligence services will need to manage with limited resources.
Ukraine Peace Talks Collapse in Two Hours—But a DMZ Is Taking Shape Behind the Scenes
- Trilateral peace talks in Geneva ended abruptly on Wednesday after just two hours, with President Zelensky declaring the outcome "insufficient" and saying "sensitive political matters" were not addressed, while the White House reported "meaningful progress"—a gap in characterization that signals deep divisions over process and substance.
- Behind the scenes, negotiators have been discussing a demilitarized zone covering a strip of contested Donetsk territory roughly 50 miles long and 40 miles wide, home to 190,000 civilians including 12,000 children, as a possible compromise between Russia's demand for land and Ukraine's refusal to withdraw unilaterally.
- Zelensky has repeatedly insisted Ukraine will not cede territory, telling Piers Morgan that "thousands, dozens of thousands of Ukrainians have been killed" defending Donbas, while also signaling a softening on troop withdrawal symmetry at talks held in Abu Dhabi earlier this month.
The bigger picture: The DMZ concept has now survived multiple rounds of diplomacy as the least-bad option on territory—but without firm security guarantees and US pressure on Russia, analysts warn any forced settlement will be unstable and short-lived.
South Korea's Yoon Sentenced to Life in Prison for Failed Martial Law Coup
- Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol was sentenced to life imprisonment with labour on Thursday, becoming the first elected head of state in South Korea's democratic era to receive the maximum custodial sentence, after a court found him guilty of leading an insurrection on December 3, 2024.
- Prosecutors had sought the death penalty, arguing Yoon committed "a grave destruction of constitutional order" by mobilizing troops to surround parliament and attempting to arrest political opponents during a six-hour crisis; within hours, 190 lawmakers broke through military cordons to pass an emergency resolution lifting martial law.
- The verdict comes 14 months after the insurrection, following related sentences for Yoon's former prime minister (23 years) and interior minister (7 years); every South Korean president who has served prison time has ultimately been pardoned, a pattern that will shape public debate about what this sentence means in practice.
Zooming out: The severity of the sentence—life imprisonment over prosecutors' death penalty demand—reflects South Korean courts' determination to establish a clear democratic precedent, though the country's pardon tradition means the final chapter of Yoon's legal story may not yet be written.
GHER HEK
- Beirut lights up for Ramadan: Downtown Beirut is adorned with giant crescent-shaped decorations this week as the city marks the start of Ramadan—AP photographers captured workers hoisting the glittering ornaments into place, with Beirut joining Istanbul, Jakarta, and Sarajevo in the global gallery of Ramadan's most beautiful street scenes.
- Fasting together, for once: Lebanon is doing something almost no other country can—Western-rite Christians began Lent on Monday, Muslims started Ramadan on Wednesday, and Eastern-rite Christians join on February 23, making this a rare moment where nearly every Lebanese community fasts at the same time.
- Beirut's art scene delivers: Gallery Art on 56th in Gemmayzeh is hosting a joint exhibition by Lebanese artists Luna Maalouf and Jennifer Haddad titled "Between the Earth and the Witness," running until February 21—Maalouf's oil paintings weave Beirut's heritage balconies with the human figure while Haddad paints marginalized neighborhoods in vivid, joyful color.
- Winter is coming—to the RSC: The Royal Shakespeare Company announced that Game of Thrones: The Mad King, a brand-new stage prequel written with George RR Martin, will premiere at Stratford-upon-Avon this summer—tickets go on sale in April, so start planning that UK trip your ammo has been suggesting for three years.
Ramadan kareem, yom saeed—see you tomorrow.